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Futures-wise, the most-traded contract 2508 strengthened. At 10:30 am, SS2508 traded at 12,635 yuan/mt, up 115 yuan/mt from the previous trading day. In Wuxi, 304/2B spot premiums/discounts ranged between 135-335 yuan/mt. In the spot market, cold-rolled 201/2B coils in Wuxi and Foshan both quoted at 7,625 yuan/mt; cold-rolled 304/2B coils with mill edges averaged 12,700 yuan/mt in both cities; Wuxi's cold-rolled 316L/2B coils traded at 23,800 yuan/mt, matching Foshan's price; hot-rolled 316L/NO.1 coils quoted at 23,100 yuan/mt in both locations; cold-rolled 430/2B coils in Wuxi and Foshan both stood at 7,250 yuan/mt.
Currently, the stainless steel market remains in the traditional off-season, with downstream demand failing to match current supply levels. Additionally, uncertainties like US tariffs remain significant, fostering strong downstream wait-and-see sentiment. Although stainless steel mills generally face cost losses and production cut news has emerged, massive prior production volumes keep current market supply at historically high levels. Supply-demand rebalancing will require time. Both mill inventories and social inventories remain at relatively high levels, with destocking slowing markedly during the off-season, placing substantial sales pressure on mills, agents, and traders, thereby limiting stainless steel price rebounds. Raw material side also faces heavy pressure. Affected by mill production cut expectations, only high-carbon ferrochrome maintains stable tender prices due to overseas producer reductions, though retail prices already trail tender levels. Prices of other raw materials, such as high-grade NPI and stainless steel scrap, have also weakened significantly, further eroding the cost support for stainless steel. The market is waiting to see how the supply-demand relationship will recover after stainless steel mills implement production cuts.
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